Abstract

Scientific approaches to the formation of digital technologies for managing the factors of influence on the anthropogenic risks of energy production in terms of reducing the rates of accidents and industrial injuries are outlined. On the basis of statistical material, using methods of mathematical approximation, the dependencies of injuries and errors of personnel on their professional experience were obtained. On the basis of the index method, indicators of the reliability of the professional activity of personnel in the operation of the main technological equipment of power facilities were determined. The index of professional success, which considers the professional experience of personnel, is taken as the basis for assessing their professional activity. A method for estimating this index is formed, statistical data on the influence of experience on accidents and injuries in the electric power industry are considered. The authors formulated and solved the problem of finding the numerical values of the index of professional success. The dependencies of the index of professional success on the professional experience of the personnel were obtained, confirmed by statistical data and (indirectly) by earlier studies in the nuclear power industry by scientists of the FBGU SSC FMBC named after. A. I. Burnazyan of the FMBA of Russia. The calculation of the index makes it possible to mathematically correctly solve a more general problem of assessing anthropogenic risks. Formal contradictions between the numerical values of work experience in a position and the number of injuries are considered, statistical data are presented that confirm the theoretical conclusions obtained. The presented classification of personnel errors allows for a deep analysis of their occurrence and management of the process of their prevention. Based on the results of the study, it was concluded that the influence of professional experience on the success of professional activity is proven and countable. It can be assessed by the proposed method for calculating the index of professional success of personnel, which can be mathematically correctly incorporated into the overall structure of anthropogenic risk assessment.

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