Abstract

The Hancheng block in the southeastern Ordos Basin is one of the earliest and the most important areas for coalbed methane exploration and development in China. However, there are significant production variations in different wells or even some adjacent wells in the Hancheng block. To reveal the reasons of production differences in such a small scale, further detailed studies of coalbed methane productivity in the Hancheng pilot test area, a precursor trial area in Hancheng block with mature, well-characterized coalbed methane reservoirs and long-term production database, were conducted. The influence of nine factors (including engineering and geological factors) on gas production was analyzed. By introducing the rough set theory, which is applicable to the vague, imprecise, and incomplete information system, this paper presents a method for quantitative evaluation of the influencing factors on gas production. The results indicate that there are certain distribution characteristics of productivity in Hancheng pilot test area, which can be partitioned into four zones. The degressive order of the influencing degree of these nine factors is (i) the distance between the well and the fault, (ii) the structure curvature of the coal seams, (iii) the gas content, (iv) the critical reservoir ratio, (v) the volume of the fracturing liquids per meter, (vi) the volume of the fracturing sand per meter, (vii) the dynamic liquid level drop rate, (viii) the depth, and (ix) the thickness. Geological factors, especially the influence of fault, structural curvature of the coal seams and gas content, play a major role in controlling long-term gas production. Engineering factors (effect of fracturing and dynamic liquid level drop rate) have always been integral parts of coalbed methane development.

Highlights

  • As a clean energy source and an important strategic complement to conventional hydrocarbon resources, coalbed methane (CBM) has achieved large-scale commercial development in the United States, Australia, and Canada (Al-Jabouri et al, 2009; American Association of Petroleum Geologists, 2015; Moore, 2012; Islam, 2015)

  • By introducing the rough set theory, this paper presents a method for quantitative evaluation of the influencing factors on gas production

  • In more than 7 years of production, CBM wells have experienced a long period of the stable stage, and the production data can reflect the production potential more accurately

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Summary

Introduction

As a clean energy source and an important strategic complement to conventional hydrocarbon resources, coalbed methane (CBM) has achieved large-scale commercial development in the United States, Australia, and Canada (Al-Jabouri et al, 2009; American Association of Petroleum Geologists, 2015; Moore, 2012; Islam, 2015). Nine geological and engineering factors (structural curvature of the coal seams (SCCS), effect of faults, burial depth, thickness, gas content, critical reservoir ratio (CRR), volume of the fracturing liquids per meter (VFLPM), volume of the fracturing sand per meter (VFSPM), and dynamic liquid level drop rate (DLLDR)) were analyzed in this study. Taking Well 1 as an example, function f means that a well with the condition attributes: 0.79 (CRR), 12.94 m3/t (gas content), 6.0 m (thickness), 409 m (depth), À0.000897 mÀ1 (SCCS), 2.9 km (distance between the well and the fault (DWF)), 130 m3/m (VFLPM), 10.2 m3/m (VFSPM), and 3.39 m/d (DLLDR), respectively, has obtained an average gas production rate of 2279 m3/d in more than 7 years.

Results and discussions
Conclusions
Normalizing the condition attributes and the decision attributes
Discretizing the condition attributes and the decision attribute
Computing attribute dependency degree
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