Probability of Metachronous Testicular Cancer in Patients With Biopsy-Proven Intratubular Germ Cell Neoplasia Depends on First-Time Treatment of Germ Cell Cancer

Abstract

To evaluate the probability of subsequent testicular cancer (STC) in patients with intratubular germ cell neoplasia unclassified (IGCNU) treated for first-time invasive germ cell cancer. Sixty-one patients with germ cell testicular cancer or extragonadal germ cell cancer received follow-up from diagnosis of IGCNU to development of STC, initiation of IGCNU-definitive treatment (orchiectomy/radiotherapy), emigration, death, or end of follow-up. The probability of STC was assessed in subgroups according to chemotherapy burden. The probability of STC in the nonexposed patients was significantly increased compared with those exposed to chemotherapy (P = .05; 5-year probability of 54% [95% CI, 33% to 78%] and 23% [95% CI, 11% to 45%], respectively). In the group of patients treated with one to three cycles or no chemotherapy, the probability of STC was significantly increased compared with those exposed to four or more cycles (P = .03; 5-year probability of 42% [95% CI, 27% to 62%] and 22% [95% CI, 8% to 54%], respectively). Twenty-two of 22 patients were tumor-free and alive at a median of 56 months (range, 2 to 184 months) after diagnosis of STC. Platinum-based chemotherapy may reduce the probability of STC in patients with IGCNU, particularly in those treated with four or more cycles of chemotherapy. A watch-and-wait strategy for patients with IGCNU may be justified in selected patients with future plans for paternity.