Abstract

AbstractThe effect of individual projectile production errors on the probability of hitting a target is analyzed. The intensity of errors is linked to the level of production quality. The consequences of manufacturing errors are estimated by a comprehensive Monte Carlo (MC) simulation where a 3D CAD model of a missile and a modified 6DOF model of its flight are coupled. A 122 mm rocket is selected as a case study. The MC simulation gives the estimation of the probability that rocket will destroy the target.

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