Probabilistic safety and reliability studies toward licensing and deploying HTGR technology in the Polish chemical industry

Abstract

The pivotal aspects of the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) and reliability studies for the foreseen HTGR-based nuclear-chemical (Nuc-Chem) facilities are discussed. The traditional PSA methodology has been extended to include the mutual dependence of nuclear and chemical systems of the hybrid Nuc-Chem installations, where HTGR serves as a heat source for various chemical processes. The Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN) approach has been utilized for modeling time sequences of failures, including interactions between nuclear and non-nuclear systems, as well as external hazards. The Global Variance Method (GVM), based on the Sobol indices, has been proposed for uncertainty and sensitivity studies concerning numerous sources of variability in a consistent manner. The paper presents the outcomes and achievements from research oriented toward licensing and deploying High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGR) within the Polish chemical industry. The general framework developed in this work for PSA of the hybrid Nuc-Chem facilities can be applied to support the licensing process and safe operation of the Polish chemical plants to be equipped with HTGRs.