Abstract

Abstract This research deals with the probabilistic simulation and assessment of erosion in the downstream maritime slopes in hop ports (ports with deep approach channels to be able to accommodate the recent vessels generations) with natural side slopes. The study concentrated on the liquefaction effect in the erosion factor, which is the main controllable parameter for this phenomena. The probability of failure for the limit state function represents the erosion factor, which has a liable representation by a normal distribution with parameters μ = 2.63 and σ = 1.69, as a representative limit state function. This research deals with a maritime channel with certain dimensions as an example. The probabilistic simulations for downstream slope erosion were carried out using the Monte Carlo technique by using a probabilistic model. The generated probabilistic histograms of the erosion factor based on one run and different numbers of simulated random samples were determined. Based on these reliability simulatio...

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