Probabilistic assessment of wind turbine produced power by considering fluctuations of temperature and velocity

Abstract

Produced power of a wind turbine depends on a mixed variety of factors such as wind speed, air density, wind beat and type of used generator in wind turbine. According to the probabilistic essence of wind speed and temperature which affect the other parameters, the output power of a wind turbine would be probabilistic. In this paper, a new proposal has been presented to predict the wind turbine generation. The results have been yielded based on data that measured in East Azerbaijan distributed company for a 3kw wind turbine. Investigation of turbine's dynamic, temperature changes and wind turbulence by considering wind dynamic make the proposed method to be more precise and reliable. The presented results show the impact of each effective parameter on output power of wind turbine. Also, it has been seen that the output power which is gained in this method is different from the one which only uses the average speed and wind speed standard deviation to assess the wind turbine generation capability.