Abstract
AbstractTimber supply behavior of private forest owners is a major uncertainty in long‐term forest product market projections. A model of private supply is developed that explains both harvest and forest management investment decisions. Comparison of two fifty‐year projections, one assuming constant management intensity and a second using the harvest‐investment model, indicates that projected levels of investment would (a) have little impact on markets prior to the year 2000, (b) stabilize real wood product prices after 2000, (c) eliminate softwood lumber imports by 2030, and (d) expand the dominant role of southern forest regions in wood product markets.
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