Abstract

This paper analyses Abuja crime data which consists of the averages of twenty major crimes reported to the police for the period 1995 – 2015. Correlation analysis and principal component analysis (PCA) were employed to explain the correlation between the crimes and to determine the distribution of the crimes over the three Area Councils under the Gwagwalada Area Command. The result has shown a significant correlation between robbery and rape, grievous hurt and wound (GHW), theft, assault, murder and unlawful escape. Gwagwalada Area Council has the highest overall crime rate i.e. Rape, Robbery, GHW, Theft, Assault, Murder and unlawful escape in the Area Command. Unlawful possession, breach of peace and broken store are more prevalence in Kwali Area Council while Vehicle theft, car stealing and burglary are more prevalence in Kuje Area Council Area. The PCA has suggested retaining three components (Rape, Robbery and GHW) that explain about 86.873 percent of the total variability of the data set.

Highlights

  • In recent time there has been an increase in the reported cases of crime across the country in the FCT Abuja, raising the issue of what categories of crime is committed in the federal capital territory

  • The score plot classified the crimes into groups: (1) the concentrated crimes consisting of rape, grievous hurt and wound (GHW), car stealing, robbery, murder and vehicle theft and (2) the less concentrated consisting of Assault, burglary, breach of peace and unlawful possession

  • There is strong positive relationship between robbery and rape, grievous hurt and wound (GHW), theft, assault, murder and unlawful escape, the relationship were significant, which means that their variables can be used to predict one another

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Summary

Introduction

In recent time there has been an increase in the reported cases of crime across the country in the FCT Abuja, raising the issue of what categories of crime is committed in the federal capital territory. [5] Analyzed Oyo State crime data which consists of 8 major crime reported to the police between the period of 1996 – 2014 They employed correlation analysis and principal component analysis to explain the correlation between the crimes in the state. [10], in their research employed the method of face-to-face personal interview using a stratified multistage random selection procedure They applied PCA to analyze the spatial pattern of criminal victimization in the 11 Local Government Areas in Kastina Senatorial Zone. PCA offers a tool for reducing the dimensionality of a very large data set and in determining the areas with overall crime rate These if properly implemented, will successively solve many of the complex criminal problems that have bedeviled the country in general and Abuja in particular

Data Description
Principal Component Analysis
Derivation of PCA
The Procedure of Finding the First pc
Interpretation of the Principal Components
The Proportion of Variance
Analysis and Results
Conclusion
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