Abstract

Primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening was introduced in Australia in December 2017. Outcomes for women after positive HPV in their cervical screening test (CST). A retrospective observational study of 4458 women seen at the Royal Women's Hospital Colposcopy Clinic from 1 January 2018 to 31 July 2020. HPV16/18 was positive (considered higher-risk CST) in 42.2% of women in the study, 16.6% with reflex possible with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (pHSIL) or worse and 54.9% with normal cytology. There were 24.8% of women with positive HPV16/18 who had histological confirmed cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+), 10.3% CIN2+ (including six cancers) among women with reflex negative cytology and 87.7% CIN2+ among women with reflex HSIL cytology. In women with positive HPV (not 16/18), CIN2+ was found in 60.2% with reflex pHSIL or worse cytology (higher risk) and 10.2% with reflex low-grade SIL (LSIL) or normal cytology (intermediate risk). Median waiting time to colposcopy with the intermediate-risk group went up to 181days. Our colposcopists were able to achieve a positive predictive value (PPV) for CIN2+ of 69.9%, higher than 57.8% PPV in the National Cervical Screening Program (NCSP) 2020 monitoring report. Women with type 3 transformation zone on colposcopy could be followed up with CST if no HSIL was suspected on screening or at colposcopy as their risk of CIN2+ was only 2.5%. Our findings support direct referral to colposcopy for women with higher-risk CST, with all cancers confined to this group. The NCSP recommendation to refer for colposcopy only after three intermediate-risk CST will need monitoring with the LSIL triage group.

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