Abstract

In this article, a new financial market model, in which securities have random interval valued payoffs, is proposed. As an extension of traditional random market model, some concepts, such as robust arbitrage opportunities, risk-neutral pricing measures and robust replicative strategies, are given and discussed parallel to those in traditional market analysis. With these new concepts, problems of pricing and hedging are analyzed. It is shown that the requirement of no robust arbitrage opportunities is equivalent to the existence of risk-neutral pricing measures. Taking no robust arbitrage as the valuation principle, the problem of pricing a contingent claim with random interval valued payoff is discussed. All no robust arbitrage prices of the claim form an interval, whose endpoints can be got from the risk-neutral pricing measures or from robust replicative strategies.

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