Abstract

The author investigates whether analysts' recommendations in the 'Dartboard' column of the Wall Street Journal have an impact on stock prices and whether this impact is temporary or long-lived. He documents a significant two-day announcement effect that is reversed within fifteen days. This announcement effect is intertwined with the pros' track record. The author's study supports the price pressure hypothesis: abnormal returns and trading volumes around the announcement day are mainly driven by noise trading from naive investors. On average, investors following the experts' recommendations lose 3.8 percent on a risk-adjusted basis over a six-month holding period. Copyright 1999 by University of Chicago Press.

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