Abstract

The study of mutton price fluctuation characteristics is of great significance to promote the healthy development of mutton industry. This paper applies the X-13A-S method to decompose Qinghai mutton price during the period from January 2013 to December 2022, analyzes its trend component, seasonal component, cyclical component, and irregular component, compares the similarities and differences between Qinghai’s and the nation’s mutton price fluctuations, and finally puts forward the development suggestions. The analysis results show that: the trend fluctuation characteristics of Qinghai and the national mutton price are basically the same; the seasonal fluctuations of Qinghai mutton price are significant; the cyclical fluctuations of Qinghai mutton price are more significant than that of the national cyclical fluctuations; and the irregular fluctuations of Qinghai mutton price are random.

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