Abstract

The significance of recovered paper as one of the main raw materials in paper making has increased steadily during the recent decades, currently covering almost 40% of the total fibre furnish globally. The deep market changes in the recent years, the complexity of the market dynamics and the increasing importance as a raw material, together with minor existing research in this sector have brought up needs for an analytical tool to facilitate decision making in the recovered paper businesses. In this paper one possible way of analysing the structure of the recovered paper market is discussed and a statistical approach supported with a qualitative market analysis is suggested with the objective of getting a view of the short-term price trend. Also the obstacles encountered in the modelling efforts are discussed.

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