Abstract
This article examines the influence of European agricultural futures contracts on price discovery during periods of price turmoil and rising trading activity. We use a hand‐collected data set of spot and futures prices for canola, wheat, and corn and show that the impact of the futures markets was high during the first period of price spikes (2007 to 2009) but lower during the second one (2010 to 2013). These results are noteworthy as more trading activity in futures markets did not lead to a higher influence on spot prices.
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