Abstract

In this research, we developed a three-stage monthly time-of-use (TOU) tariff optimization model to address the concerns of confusing time period division, illogical price setting, and incomplete seasonal element consideration in the previous TOU tariff design. The empirical investigation was conducted based on load, power generation, and electricity pricing data from a typical northwest region in China in 2022. The findings indicate the following: (1) In producing the typical net load curves, the employed K-means++ technique outperformed the standard models in terms of the clustering effect by 4.27–26.70%. (2) Following optimization, there was a decrease of 1900 MW in the maximum monthly abandonment of renewable energy, a decrease of 0.31–53.94% in the peak–valley difference, and a decrease of 2.03–17.27% in the monthly net load cost. (3) By taking extra critical peak and deep valley time periods into account, the average net load cost decreased by 10.36% compared with conventional peak–flat–valley time period division criteria.

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