PREVALCENCE OF MR‐DECTED CARTILAGE DAMAGE IN KNEES WITH KELLGREN-LAWRENCE 2 & 3 OSTEOARTHRITIS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR CLINICAL TRIALS

Abstract

Many potential disease-modifying osteoarthritis drugs (DMOADs) have been investigated, but to date no DMOADs that slow or stop disease progression have been approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) or the European Medicines Agency (EMA). A potential reason for the lack of demonstrated efficacy may be reliance on radiographs for defining structural inclusion and exclusion criteria for clinical trials, such as use of joint space width and Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade as surrogates for cartilage damage. To estimate the distribution of cartilage damage seen on knee MRI in a sample of knees with radiographic KL 2 and 3 OA that would potentially qualify for a DMOAD trial. We selected knees from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) that met common structural inclusion criteria for DMOAD trial enrollment at OAI baseline: knees with radiographs centrally graded as KL 2 or 3 and medial minimum joint space width (mJSW) ≥ 1.5mm. A musculoskeletal radiologist with 10 years of experience in semi-quantitative MRI assessment scored knee cartilage damage in the medial and lateral tibiofemoral and patellofemoral compartments using WORMS (Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Score). Coronal intermediate weighted (IW) TSE and sagittal fat-suppressed IW TSE sequences on 3T MRI were used. The WORMS cartilage scores, which are based on both the extent and depth of cartilage damage, were collapsed into 4 categories: no cartilage damage (WORMS 0 and 1), focal partial or full-thickness (PT/FT) cartilage damage (WORMS 2 and 2.5), diffuse partial thickness (PT) cartilage damage (WORMS 3 and 4), and diffuse full-thickness (FT) cartilage damage (WORMS 5 and 6). We estimated the prevalence of each category of cartilage damage in KL2 and KL3 knees; 95% confidence intervals (CI) accounted for clustering at the participant-level since some participants contributed two knees to the analysis. We identified 2,372 participants contributing 3,446 knees with radiographic OA (KL 2 and 3) and medial mJSW ≥ 1.5mm. There were 2,318 KL2 knees and 1,128 KL3 knees. We found no cartilage damage in any compartments in 9.8% (95%CI: 8.5, 11.1) of KL2 knees and 2.0% (95%CI: 1.1, 2.9) of KL3 knees. Cartilage damage was absent in the medial tibiofemoral compartment in 52.4% (95%CI: 50.1, 54.6) of KL2 knees, and 14.4% (95%CI: 12.2, 16.6) of KL3 knees, versus 61% (95%CI: 58.8, 63.2) of KL2 knees and 53.6% (95%CI: 50.4, 56.7) of KL3 knees in the lateral compartment. When medial and lateral compartments were combined, cartilage damage was absent in 34.8% (95%CI: 32.7, 36.9) of the KL2 knees, and 4.3% (95%CI: 3.0, 5.5) of the KL3 knees. Diffuse FT cartilage lesions in the medial compartment were found in 6.1% (95%CI: 5.0, 7.1) of KL2 knees and 42.5% (95%CI: 39.4, 45.6) of KL3 knees. MRI screening prior to clinical trial enrollment may identify a substantial percentage of knees with normal cartilage, as well as knees with diffuse FT cartilage lesions that may not be responsive to DMOADs, depending on the mode of action of a given pharmacological compound. AG has received consultancies fees from Pfizer, Novartis, AstraZeneca, Merck Serono, Regeneron and TissueGene and is shareholder of Boston Imaging Core Lab (BICL), LLC a company providing image assessment services. FWR is shareholder of BICL, LLC and has received consultancies fees from Calibr–California Institute of Biomedical Research and Grünenthal, GmbH. DH receives publication royalties from Wolters-Kluwer. CKK has received consultancy fees from Thuasne, Regeneron, Novartis, Kolon Tissue Gene, Taiwan Liposome, Amzell AZ, LG Chem, Express Scripts, and has received grants from Lilly, Pfizer GSK, Cumberland CORRESPONDENCE ADDRESS: mjarraya@mgh.harvard.edu .