Abstract

The prognostic significance of various systemic inflammation‐based markers has been explored in different cancers after surgery. This study aimed to investigate whether these markers could predict outcomes in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA). One hundred eighteen patients with newly diagnosed HCC within the Milan criteria receiving RFA as initial therapy were retrospectively enrolled. Pretreatment inflammation-based markers including the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI), together with other clinicopathologic parameters were collected. Cumulative overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and by multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazard model. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of patients were 90%, 67%, and 52%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that baseline high NLR ≥ 2.5 (p = 0.006), low PNI < 40 (p = 0.005), history of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (p = 0.005), non-Child-Pugh class A (p = 0.001) and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 200 ng/mL (p = 0.005) significantly associated with the poor OS, whereas high PLR ≥ 100 did not. By multivariate analysis, high NLR ≥ 2.5 (hazard ratio (HR) 1.94; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05–3.59; p = 0.034), low PNI < 40 (HR 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20–0.72; p = 0.003), ESRD history (HR 3.60; 95% CI, 1.48–8.76; p = 0.005) and elevated AFP ≥ 200 ng/mL (HR 4.61; 95% CI, 1.75–12.13; p = 0.002) were independent factors. An elevated AFP level of ≥200 ng/mL was the significant factor associated with intrahepatic new RFS by univariate and multivariate analyses. In conclusion, pretreatment NLR and PNI are simple and useful predictors for OS in patients with early-stage HCC after RFA.

Highlights

  • In Taiwan, the crude mortality rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is 30.21 per 100,000 person-years, which is the first and second leading cause of cancer-related mortality in males and females, respectively[4]

  • 88 (75%) patients were positive for anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody and 32 (27%) patients were positive for hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen (HBsAg)

  • A complex tumor microenvironment is one of the most important factors in a cancer prognosis. This has been confirmed that the interaction between the tumor itself and systemic inflammatory response will lead to tumor development[25]

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Summary

Introduction

In Taiwan, the crude mortality rate of HCC is 30.21 per 100,000 person-years, which is the first and second leading cause of cancer-related mortality in males and females, respectively[4]. Factors Age (years) Gender, male/female (%) Body mass index (per kg/m2) Diabetes mellitus (%) End-stage renal disease (%) Tumor stage I/II (%) Tumor number, solitary/multiple (%) Tumor size, ≥3 cm vs

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