Presenting the AI models in predicting the settlement of earth dams using the results of spatiotemporal clustering and k-means algorithm

Abstract

In this work, the results of instrumentation over 8 years, including the phases of construction, first impounding, and operation, have been used to analyze the location of the Eyvashan Dam settlement. Mohr–Coulomb behavioral model and numerical model of Plaxis 2D software were used to verify the monitoring results. The results demonstrated that settlement of the dam has increased in the dam's core since the beginning of construction, and they eventually stabilized during the operation phase. After the completion of the construction phase, the maximum settlement of the dam core was recorded as 809 mm, which is equivalent to 1.2% of the height of the dam at the middle level. Also, an approach to interpreting the settlement behavior of earth dams has been presented that is based on spatiotemporal clustering. Also, RF, MARS, and GMDH models were created based on a proposed scenario to predict settlement using points located in a cluster. Therefore, the settlement location of the studied dam was determined using the results of the k-means clustering algorithm in the aforementioned AI models. The high accuracy of the results of the proposed method confirms the proper performance of using AI models in predicting and diagnosing the settlement of earthen dams using the results of k-means spatiotemporal clustering algorithm. The evaluation of the models shows that the ENN model is a more suitable and efficient tool in this field and can be useful in monitoring the settlement of earth dams.