Preprocedural atrial fibrillation burden is associated with recurrence in patients undergoing atrial fibrillation ablation: findings from the ISOLATION AF Ablation Cohort Study

Abstract

Abstract Background Non-invasive quantification of electrophysiological properties of the atria is increasingly used for outcome prediction in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. Data on the benefit of the current classification of AF compared to AF burden based on single lead ECG measurements to predict AF recurrences are scarce. Objective This study sought to assess the predictive performance of low versus high AF burden compared to the conventional AF classification for predicting recurrences after AF catheter ablation. Methods A cross-sectional analysis was conducted in AF patients scheduled for catheter ablation included in the prospective multicenter ISOLATION cohort study between July 2020 and November 2022. Clinical characteristics, routine tests, blood tests and rhythm monitoring through single lead ECGs were collected prior to ablation. ECGs were recorded three times daily for four weeks, with additional measurements in case of the onset or relief of symptoms. The primary endpoint was "ablation success" defined as freedom from documented arrhythmia after the blanking period. Of 650 included patients, pre-procedural rhythm monitoring was available in 580. 261 patients had at least 14 days of ECG measurements and completed 12 months of follow-up. In these patients, we compared the recurrences after 12 months between paroxysmal and persistent AF and high versus low AF burden through survival analysis. Maximally selected rank statistics were used to determine the best cut-off value for AF burden. Results In 261 patients, the mean age was 64 ± 9 years, and 33.7% were female. Physicians classified 170 patients (65.1%) as paroxysmal AF and 91 (34.9%) as persistent AF based on medical history. The AF burden is shown in Figure 1. The optimal calculated cut-off value for AF burden was 42%. Out of 170 patients with paroxysmal AF, 17 (10%) had a burden of > 42%. Of the 91 patients with persistent AF, 35 (38%) had a burden of < 42%. After 12 months, a significant difference in recurrences was observed between patients with paroxysmal AF versus persistent AF (p= 0.015). Patients with high AF burden, had more recurrences after 12 months, than patients with a low AF burden (p= 0.006) (Figure 2). Conclusion Our preliminary results suggest that the addition of a new classification of AF based on burden might provide additional benefit in predicting AF recurrences after catheter ablation compared to the current existing classification and may improve prognostication. Completion of patient follow-up is necessary to determine the predictive value of AF burden derived from single lead ECGs for the prediction of AF recurrence.Figure 2.