Preoperative Prediction of Perineural Invasion in Oesophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Based on CT Radiomics Nomogram: A Multicenter Study

Abstract

To investigate the value of computed tomography (CT) radiomics nomogram in the preoperative prediction of perineural invasion (PNI) in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) through a multicenter study. We retrospectively collected postoperative pathological data of 360 ESCC patients with definite PNI status (131 PNI-positive and 229 PNI-negative) from two centres. Radiomic features were extracted from the arterial-phase CT images, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and logistic regression algorithm were used to screen valuable features for identifying the PNI status and calculating the radiomics score (Rad-score). A radiomics nomogram was established by integrating the Rad-score and clinical risk factors. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate model performance, and decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the radiomics nomogram in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets. Twenty radiomics features were extracted from a full-volume tumour region of interest to construct the model, and the radiomics nomogram combined with radiomics features and clinical risk factors was superior to the clinical and radiomics models in predicting the PNI status of ESCC patients. The area under the curve values of the radiomics nomogram in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets were 0.856 (0.794-0.918), 0.832 (0.742-0.922), and 0.803 (0.709-0.898), respectively. The radiomics nomogram based on CT has excellent predictive ability; it can non-invasively predict the preoperative PNI status of ESCC patients and provide a basis for preoperative decision-making.