Preoperative pancreatic radiologic characteristics predict pancreatic-specific complications before pancreaticoduodenectomy: the pancreatic acinar radiologic score

Abstract

BackgroundHigh acinar pancreatic contents are associated with a higher rate of postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis and pancreatic fistula formation (POPF). Predicting acinar contents preoperatively might identify those at high risk of developing postoperative complications. MethodsA multivariable analysis was performed to identify radiological factors associated with high pancreatic acinar content at histology in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy. Clinical and radiological variables identified were used to build a composite score predicting low, moderate, and high acinar pancreatic contents. ResultsPancreatic density, wirsung caliber, and pancreatic thickness on preoperative CT-scan predicted acinar contents. These three variables predicted low, moderate, and high acinar content in 94 (26%), 122 (33.6%), and 147 (40.5%) patients, respectively. Patients with high radiological acinar scores compared with patients with intermediate-low risk scores were more frequently male (73.4% vs. 54.1%; p = 0.0003), obese (14% vs. 6%; p = 0.01), and had a statistically significant higher rate of pancreatic-specific complications (23.8% vs. 8.33%; p = 0.01), POPF (12.9% vs. 4.63%; p = 0.005) and pancreaticogastrostomy bleeding (10.8% vs. 4.17%; p = 0.01). ConclusionA simple radiological score combining pancreatic thickness, density, and wirsung caliber at CT scan preoperatively predicts patients with pancreatic parenchyma that are at higher risk of postoperative pancreatic-specific complications.