Preoperative electrocardiogram in prediction of 90-day postoperative mortality: retrospective cohort study

Abstract

BackgroundThere are conflicting data on the relationship between preoperative electrocardiogram and postoperative mortality. We aimed to assess the predictive value of preoperative ECG on postoperative all-cause mortality in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery (NCS).MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed records of hospitalized patients who underwent an internal preoperative examination and subsequent NCS in the years 2015–2021. We recorded patient comorbidities, vital functions, results of biochemical tests, ECG. The primary end point was 90-day postoperative all-cause mortality, acquired from the hospital records and the nationwide registry run by the Institute of Health Information and Statistics of the Czech Republic.ResultsWe enrolled a total of 2219 patients of mean age 63 years (48% women). Of these, 152 (6.8%) died during the 90-day postoperative period. There were statistically significant associations between increased 90-day postoperative all-cause mortality and abnormal ECG findings in resting heart rate (≥ 80 bpm, relative risk [RR] = 1.82 and ≥ 100 bpm, RR = 2.57), presence of atrial fibrillation (RR = 4.51), intraventricular conduction delay (QRS > 0.12 s, RR = 2.57), ST segment changes and T wave alterations, left bundle branch hemiblock (RR = 1.64), and right (RR = 2.04) and left bundle branch block (RR = 4.13), but not abnormal PQ and QT intervals, paced rhythm, incomplete right bundle branch block, or other ECG abnormalities. A resting heart rate (≥ 80 bpm, relative risk [RR] = 1.95 and ≥ 100 bpm, RR = 2.20), atrial fibrillation (RR = 2.10), and right bundle branch block (RR = 2.52) were significantly associated with 90-day postoperative all-cause mortality even in subgroup of patients with pre-existing cardiac comorbidities.ConclusionsPatients with abnormal preoperative ECG findings face an elevated risk of all-cause mortality within 90 days after surgery. The highest mortality risk is observed in patients with atrial fibrillation and left bundle branch block. Additionally, an elevated heart rate, right bundle branch block, and atrial fibrillation further increase the risk of death in patients with pre-existing cardiac conditions.