Preliminary study of stress changes evolution on central part of Sumatran Fault influenced by large interplate earthquakes and tectonic stress rates

Abstract

The inland seismic activity in Great Sumatran Fault (GSF) has significantly increased over the past several decades after the occurrence of historical large interplate earthquakes along the plate boundary. This condition led to some occurrences of historical intraplate earthquakes along Sumatran fault. To quantitatively examine the physical mechanisms between intraplate earthquakes and interplate earthquakes, we estimated the static coseismic stress changes of Coulomb failure function (ΔCFF) using receiver fault approach from large historical-recorded interplate earthquakes and the increase in tectonic stress rates. We examined this research in the central part of GSF since this zone is assumed to have the most heterogeneous stress field and thus became our focus study area. The cumulative ΔCFF models showed almost all segments in the central part of GSF suffered negative changes (<-0.1 MPa) which assumed to be unlikely to rupture in short time. However, the preliminary analysis of the increase in tectonic stress rate indicated that large intraplate earthquakes occurred on Angkola and Siulak segments were dominantly influenced by the increase in interseismic stress rate just after the series of large subduction earthquake occurrences, apart from the decreased stress changes from those major interplate earthquakes.