Pregnancy in women with congenital heart disease : new insights into neonatal risk predictioc

Abstract

Abstract Background Advances in managing adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) have led to an increased number of women with CHD reaching childbearing age. This demographic shift underscores the need for improved understanding and prediction of complications during pregnancy in this specific ACHD population. Despite progress in maternal cardiac risk assessment, the prediction of neonatal outcomes for ACHD pregnancies remains underdeveloped. Therefore, the aims of this study are (1) to assess neonatal outcomes in a CHD women population, (2) to identify their predictive factors and (3) to propose a new risk score for predicting neonatal complications. Methods This registry study included all women born between 1975 and 1996 diagnosed with ACHD who underwent at least one cardiology consultation for ACHD in Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc. A multivariate analysis was performed to identify predictors of neonatal complications and these were incorporated into a new risk index. Its validity was assessed using bootstrap method. This score was then compared with scores adapted from the ZAHARA and CARPREG studies for offspring events prediction. Results Analysis of 491 pregnancies revealed 31.4% of neonatal complications. Four significant predictors of adverse neonatal outcomes were identified: cardiac treatment during pregnancy (OR 14.9, 95%CI [4.6-64.3]), hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (OR 10.4, 95%CI [3.4-39.5]), smoking during pregnancy (OR 10.3, 95% CI [3.0-44.9]), and pre-pregnancy BMI < 18.5 kg/m² (OR 6.2, 95% CI [2.6-16.5]). The risk model demonstrated an AUC of 0.70 (95% CI [0.65-0.75), which remained stable after bootstrap validation. This model significantly outperformed the scores adapted from ZAHARA and CARPREG data. Based on the regression coefficients, a risk score was subsequently developed comprising 5 risk categories. Conclusion One third of ACHD pregnancies are complicated by poor neonatal outcome. These complications are determined by 4 independent factors relating to the cardiac and non-cardiac status of the patients, which have been incorporated into a risk score. Our study is one of the first to propose a predictive risk score of neonatal outcomes in ACHD pregancies, and paves the way for other validation and confirmation studies.Offspring scores: performance comparisonNew risk score for neonatal outcome