Abstract

In recent years, online social networks have become an important site for companies to promote their latest products. Consequently, evaluating how many clients are affected by preferential information distributed in online social networks has become essential. In this paper, a novel dynamic model called the follower super forwarder client (FSFC) model is proposed to address the spreading behavior of preferential information in online social networks. The mean field theory is adopted to describe the formulas of the FSFC model and the key parameters of the model are derived from the past forwarding data of the preferential information. The edge between a large-degree node to a small-degree node has a greater weight. In addition, two kinds of infection probabilities are adopted for large-degree node forwarders and small-degree node forwarders. To evaluate the performance of the FSFC model, preferential data published on the Sina microblog (www.weibo.com) for the Vivo smartphone, Alibaba’s Tmall shopping site, and the Xiaomi phone were selected as real cases. Simulation results indicate that the relative errors of the output of the FSFC model compared with the actual data are 0.0068% (Vivo smartphone), 0.0085% (Tmall), and 0.032% (Xiaomi phone), respectively. The results verify that the FSFC model is a feasible model for describing the spreading behavior of preferential information in online social networks.

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