Abstract

This article presents the results of a discrete choice experiment (DCE) conducted in 2012 with 277 final-year medical students from Minas Gerais State, Brazil. The experiment tested students' preferences concerning future work as physicians in primary health care, based on hypothetical job scenarios aimed at measuring the likelihood of placement in areas with a shortage of doctors. Application of DCE involved (i) a qualitative stage to define the attributes and their respective levels to comprise the job scenarios, (ii) construction and application of the instrument, and (iii) analysis with application of multinomial logit with conditional probability to estimate the weight of attributes and to construct scenarios for choice probability. The results indicate that the job attribute that most impacted students' choice was location, followed by job conditions, pay, access to medical residency, type of employment relationship, and workload. Students from private medical schools, with higher family income, and females were generally more likely to resist job assignments in unsafe urban areas and remote areas of the countryside. The job scenarios that proved most plausible in terms of public intervention were those that combined middle-level wages, good working conditions, and 10 to 20 bonus points on medical residency exams.

Highlights

  • This article presents the results of a discrete choice experiment (DCE) conducted in 2012 with 277 final-year medical students from Minas Gerais State, Brazil

  • The experiment tested students’ preferences concerning future work as physicians in primary health care, based on hypothetical job scenarios aimed at measuring the likelihood of placement in areas with a shortage of doctors

  • Application of DCE involved (i) a qualitative stage to define the attributes and their respective levels to comprise the job scenarios, (ii) construction and application of the instrument, and (iii) analysis with application of multinomial logit with conditional probability to estimate the weight of attributes and to construct scenarios for choice probability

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Summary

ARTIGO ARTICLE

Este artigo tem por objetivo apresentar os resultados da aplicação de um experimento de preferência declarada (DCE – discrete choice experiment) realizado em 2012 com 277 estudantes do último ano dos cursos de medicina do Estado de Minas Gerais, Brasil. Município pequeno porte Município médio porte Município grande porte Renda familiar (em Reais) Até 3.110 Mais de 3.110 até 6.220 Mais 6.220 até 12.440 Mais de 12.440 Formação Recebe bolsa/financiamento Sim, bolsa Sim, financiamento Não Instituição de ensino pública Localização da escola na região metropolitana O que pretende fazer depois de formado Residência médica Curso de especialização Entrar no mercado de trabalho Expectativas de trabalho Expectativa de renda (em Reais) Até 5.000 Mais de 5.000 até 10.000 Mais de 10.000 Expectativa de tipo de vínculo Vínculo estável no setor público Vínculo estável no setor privado Vínculo empregatício por tempo determinado Nenhum vínculo (autônomo) Expectativa de carga de trabalho Integral Parcial Pretende seguir carreira na atenção primária à saúde (sim) Preferência para trabalhar em área urbana (vs rural).

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