Preferences for Risks and Benefits of Islet Cell Transplantation for Persons With Type 1 Diabetes With History of Episodes of Severe Hypoglycemia: A Discrete-Choice Experiment to Inform Regulatory Decisions

Abstract

The advisory panel for US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) recently endorsed pancreatic islet cell transplantation (ICT) therapy for suboptimally controlled type 1 diabetes (T1D), and FDA approval is under consideration. An important part of regulatory approval includes the patient perspective, through discrete choice. We developed a discrete-choice instrument and used it to determine how 90 people with T1D weigh the risks and benefits of ICT to inform regulatory decisions. Sawtooth software created a random, full-profile, balanced-overlap experimental design for a measure with 8 attributes of ICT risks/benefits, each with 3 to 5 levels. We asked 18 random task pairs, sociodemographics, diabetes management, and hypoglycemia questions. Analysis was performed using random parameters logistic regression technique. The strongest preference was for avoiding the highest chance (15%) of serious procedure-related complications (β = -2.03, P < 0.001). The strongest positive preference was for gaining 5-y insulin independence (β = 1.75, P < 0.001). The desire for 5-y HbA1C-defined clinical treatment success was also strong (β = 1.39, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis suggested strong gender differences with women showing much higher preferences for all benefits (68% higher for 5-y insulin independence), and men were generally more risk averse than women. Those with high versus low diabetes distress showed 3 times stronger preference for 5-y insulin independence but also twice preference to avoid risks of serious complications. Despite showing the most preference for avoiding serious ICT complications, people with T1D had a strong preference for achieving ICT benefits, especially insulin independence. We identified important attributes of ICT and demonstrated that patients are willing to make these trade-offs, showing support for the introduction of ICT.