Predictors of Success in a Urology Residency Program

Abstract

In selecting a medical student for a urology residency, a set of preconceived criteria as to what will predict a successful resident are generally applied. To determine what factors predict an "excellent" clinical resident and a successful in-service test taker, we analyzed 10 years of urology resident files. PARTICIPANTS AND STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective chart review of 29 urology residents at Washington University graduating from July 2000 to July 2009. Medical student applications and interview evaluations were compared with future performance as a general surgical intern and then as a urology resident, in terms of clinical performance and in-service examination scores. Of 29 residents, based on clinical evaluations over 4 years of urology residency, 12 were "excellent," 17 "average and needing improvement." "Excellent" residents had higher applicant rank submitted to the "match" (7.2 vs. 12.1, p = 0.04) and better letters of recommendation (3.0 vs. 2.5, 0.018). "Excellent" residents also had better evaluations as an intern (3.9 vs 2.7, p < 0.001). "Good" urology in-service examination test takers compared with "below average" test takers noted higher rank on the match list (7.8 vs 12.1, p = 0.04), better quality med school (2.6 vs 2.0; p = 0.002), higher USMLE scores (92.5 vs 86.6% tile, p = 0.02), American Board of Surgery in-training examination (ABSITE) score (58.6 vs 37.2% tile, p = 0.04), and were more likely to pass the board examination (100% vs 76.9%, p = 0.03). Residents with higher clinical evaluations were also more likely to go into fellowships (83.3% vs 16.2%, OR = 23.3) and academic careers (41.6 vs 11.1%, OR = 5.71). Performance as a surgery intern predicts future performance as a GU Resident. "Good" test takers as medical students and as interns continue to test well as GU residents. Early identification, intervention, and mentoring while still an intern are essential. Selection criteria we currently use to select GU residents are surprisingly predictive.