Abstract

The number of patients with pulmonary Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) disease is increasing worldwide, especially among middle-aged women and never-smokers. However, little is known about the factors causing exacerbations of pulmonary MAC disease in untreated patients. The aim of the present study was to identify the predictors of radiological aggravations of pulmonary MAC disease. From April 2011 to December 2018, 238 MAC patients at our institute were newly diagnosed with pulmonary MAC disease according to the 2007 American Thoracic Society/Infectious Disease Society guideline. Their medical records were examined retrospectively for their clinical findings. The radiological findings at the time of the diagnosis and 1 year later were evaluated. To identify the predictors of radiological aggravation, multivariable analysis was performed with the data of 167 treatment-naïve patients. Female, never-smoker, and nodular/bronchiectatic (NB) type were predominant in patients with pulmonary MAC disease. Univariate analysis of data from treatment-naïve subjects showed that no lung diseases other than MAC, extensive radiological findings, and a positive acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear were significantly associated with radiological aggravations. On multivariate analysis, the radiological factor (larger affected area) and absence of other lung disease were significantly associated with radiological aggravations. In particular, the presence of abnormal shadows in more than 3 lobes was significantly associated with radiological aggravations. In this study, the presence of extensive radiological findings and the absence of lung diseases other than MAC were predictors of radiological aggravations of treatment-naïve pulmonary MAC disease. In particular, the presence of abnormal shadows in more than 3 lobes was significantly associated with radiological aggravations.

Highlights

  • Epidemiologic data suggest that the incidence and prevalence of nontuberculous mycobacterium (NTM) infections are increasing in many countries[1,2,3,4,5,6]

  • Univariate analysis of data from treatment-naïve subjects showed that no lung diseases other than Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC), extensive radiological findings, and a positive acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear were significantly associated with radiological aggravations

  • The radiological factor and absence of other lung disease were significantly associated with radiological aggravations

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Summary

Introduction

Epidemiologic data suggest that the incidence and prevalence of nontuberculous mycobacterium (NTM) infections are increasing in many countries[1,2,3,4,5,6]. Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC), including M. avium and M. intracellulare, is the most common etiology of NTM[7,8]. The progressive improvements in diagnostic technology such as chest computed tomography (CT) and genetic sequencing suggest that host and microorganism factors[9,10,11,12], as well as environmental factors[12], might be involved, the exact reason for the increasing prevalence of MAC remains unknown. The clinical outcomes of pulmonary MAC disease vary widely. It is critical to determine the predictors for the prognosis of patients with pulmonary MAC disease. The number of patients with pulmonary Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) disease is increasing worldwide, especially among middle-aged women and never-smokers. Little is known about the factors causing exacerbations of pulmonary MAC disease in untreated patients. The aim of the present study was to identify the predictors of radiological aggravations of pulmonary MAC disease

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