Predictors of poor outcomes of respiratory syncytial virus acute lower respiratory infections in children under 5 years of age in a middle-income tropical country based on the National Public Health Surveillance System.

Abstract

The aim of the present study is to gain insight into the identification of region-specific factors associated with poor outcomes in children under 5 years of age with confirmed respiratory syncytial virus acute lower respiratory infection (RSV-ALRI) living in Colombia, a middle-income country, based on the National Public Health Surveillance System of the country. An analytical cross-sectional study was conducted using epidemiological data from the records of morbidity and mortality of respiratory infections as registered in the surveillance system report of the National Institute of Health of Colombia 2018, including children under 5 years of age with confirmed RSV-ALRI. Predictor variables included demographic and clinical variables, as well as variables measured after hospital attendance. Outcome variables analyzed were respiratory failure, the need for pediatric intensive care unit admission, and mortality. Of a total of 8470 patients with a diagnosis of ALRI, we selected 1215 (14.3%) that were under 5 years of age and were positive for RSV. After controlling for potential confounders, it was found that age, gender, socioeconomic stratum, incomplete pneumococcal conjugate vaccine 13 immunization for age, cardiac disease, and malnutrition as comorbidities, chest X-ray findings, and development of sepsis independently predicted poor outcomes among the patients analyzed. The identified predictors for poor outcomes in RSV-affected children may be helpful for guiding efficient and targeted national and/or regional programs and public policies to assist in achieving Goal 3 of the Sustainable Development Goals adopted by the United Nations in 2015.