Predictors of planned home birth before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Abstract

To determine how demographic and clinical predictors of home birth have changed since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US. Using National Vital Statistics birth certificate data, a retrospective population-based cohort study was performed with planned home births and hospital births among women age≥18 years during calendar years 2019 (pre-pandemic) and 2021 (pandemic-era). Birth location (planned home birth vs. hospital birth) was analyzed using univariate and multivariable logistic regression, systematically examining the interaction of each demographic and clinical covariate with study year. After exclusions, a total of 6,087,768 birth records were retained for analysis, with the proportion of home births increasing from 0.82 % in 2019 to 1.24 % in 2021 (p<0.001). In the final multivariable logistic regression model of planned home birth, five demographic variables retained a statistically significant interaction with year: race and ethnicity, age, educational attainment, parity, and WIC participation. In each case, demographic differences between those having planned home births and hospital births became smaller (odds ratios closer to 1) in 2021 compared to 2019. Planned home births increased by more than 50 % during the pandemic, with greater socioeconomic diversity in the pandemic-era home birth cohort. The presence of clinical risk factors remained a strong predictor of hospital birth, with no evidence that pandemic-era home births had a higher clinical risk profile as compared to the pre-pandemic period.