Predictors of Mortality in Neonatal Shock: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Abstract

To study the incidence, clinical profile, and predictors of mortality in neonatal shock. We enrolled consecutive inborn neonates, who developed shock during hospital stay (between January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2019) at a tertiary-care, research center of northern India. We retrieved the clinical data from our electronic database, case record files, nursing charts, and laboratory investigations from the hospital's Health Information System. Non-survivors were compared with survivors to identify independent predictors of mortality. We had 3,271 neonatal admissions during the study period. We recorded 415 episodes of neonatal shock in 392 neonates [incidence 12.0% (95% confidence interval: 10.9%-13.2%)]. Of 415 episodes, 237 (57%) episodes were identified as septic shock, 67 (16%) episodes as cardiogenic shock, and six (1.4%) episodes as obstructive shock. Remaining 105 (25%) episodes were contributed by more than one etiology of shock. There were 242 non-survivors among 392 neonates with shock (case fatality rate: 62%). On univariate analysis, gestational age, birth weight, incidence of hyaline membrane disease, early-onset sepsis, Acinetobacter sepsis, and cardiogenic shock were significantly different between survivors and non-survivors. Female gender and small for gestational age (SGA) neonates showed a trend of significance. On multivariable regression analysis, we found gestational age, SGA neonates, female gender, and Acinetobacter sepsis to have an independent association with mortality. Septic shock was the commonest cause of neonatal shock at our center. Neonatal shock had very high case fatality rate. Gestational age, SGA, female gender, and Acinetobacter sepsis independently predicted mortality in neonatal shock.