Predictors of Ischemic Stroke in a cohort of patients with Chagas Cardiomyopathy: the CLOT-Chagas study

Abstract

Abstract Introduction a high risk of embolic events characterizes Chronic Chagas Cardiomyopathy (CCC) due to the presence of structural alterations of the left ventricle, the high incidence of arrhythmias, and intrinsic coagulation disorders. Despite its relevance, there is limited information on factors associated with this type of embolic event in patients with CCC, with most studies designed as case-control studies. This study aimed to prospectively analyze independently associated factors with this population's Ischemic Stroke (IS). Materials and Methods A prospective study was conducted between 2019 and 2023 at a cardiovascular center's Heart Failure and Heart Transplant Clinic. Adult patients diagnosed with CCC were included, recording sociodemographic, clinical, and echocardiographic variables as potential predictors of IS. Patients were followed up for 18 months via telephone for outcome assessment. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify factors potentially associated with IS during follow-up. Results A total of 232 patients diagnosed with CCC were included (males: 54.9%; median age: 67 years), the majority of whom were receiving anticoagulant therapy (n=144; 62.1%), with DOACs being the most frequently prescribed type of anticoagulants (51%). During follow-up, 16 patients (6.9%) developed an IS. There was a trend towards a lower incidence of IS in patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (6.8%) compared to those receiving Warfarin (11.5%); however, this difference was not statistically significant (p=0.584). In the multivariate regression analysis including all potential predictors of IS, only the presence of a ventricular aneurysm (RR 5.64; 95% CI 1.61-19.70, p=0.007) and the score obtained when applying the Pfeiffer cognitive impairment questionnaire (RR 0.56; 95% CI 0.42-0.75, p<0.001) were significantly associated with the outcome of IS, even after adjusting for age, sex, NYHA functional class, ejection fraction, and anticoagulant therapy. The model composed of ventricular aneurysms and the Pfeiffer questionnaire score showed adequate performance in predicting IS during follow-up (AUC 0.79). Conclusions and Discussion: The incidence of IS in this population was higher than reported in the literature for both CCC patients and those with heart failure from other etiologies. The finding of an association between the presence of ventricular aneurysms and IS has been previously reported; however, the association between the Pfeiffer cognitive test and the development of IS represents a novel observation that deserves validation in future studies for its applicability in the clinical setting.