Abstract
e16529 Background: A post-hoc analysis of COU-AA-302 trial data showed that brief pain inventory (BPI), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and bone metastases were predictors for overall survival in men with mCRPC treated with AA+P. This study aimed to identify baseline predictors of other clinical outcomes. Methods: COU-AA-302 trial data were used to develop predictive models for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) deterioration, and opiate use. Associations between baseline factors and outcomes were first assessed using multivariable Cox models among AA+P patients (Step 1). In Step 2, interaction testing was conducted between treatment (AA+P vs. placebo) and each potential predictor (P < 0.2) identified in Step 1. Final Cox models included predictors and any significant interactions (p < 0.05). Results: A total of 1,034 men (525 AA+P; 509 placebo) were included in the analysis. Baseline BPI, PSA, LDH, and ALP were predictors of PSA progression and opiate use regardless of AA+P or placebo with higher values indicating higher risks (all P < 0.05). Younger age, shorter time from luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone to randomization, higher Gleason score, and lower PSA at diagnosis were also associated with higher risks of opiate use: (all P < 0.05). For ECOG PS deterioration, higher baseline BPI, PSA, LDH, and Gleason score, older age, and lower baseline ECOG were associated with higher risks regardless of AA+P or placebo (all P < 0.05). Baseline ALP and site of metastasis also predicted ECOG PS deterioration but the effect varied by treatment (lower risk in AA+P versus placebo; both interactions’ P < 0.05). Conclusions: Predictors of PSA progression, ECOG PS deterioration, and opiate use were identified in AA+P and placebo-treated men with mCRPC. No predictors were associated with worse outcomes for AA+P versus placebo, while the negative impact of certain predictors on ECOG PS was favorably modified by AA+P. Further study is needed on the relationship between AA+P and prognostic factors.
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