Abstract
Few studies have evaluated baseline predictors of clinical outcomes among people with HIV starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the modern era of rapid ART initiation. We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial of two rapid treatment initiation strategies for people with treatment-naïve HIV and tuberculosis symptoms at an urban clinic in Haiti. We used logistic regression models to assess associations between baseline characteristics and (1) retention in care at 48 weeks, (2) HIV viral load suppression at 48 weeks (among participants who underwent viral load testing), and (3) all-cause mortality. 500 participants were enrolled in the study 11/2017-1/2020. Eighty-eight (18%) participants were diagnosed with tuberculosis, and ART was started in 494 (99%). After adjustment, less than secondary education (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.21, 95% CI 0.10-0.46), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 2.57, 95% CI 1.22-5.43), age (AOR 1.42 per 10-year increase, 95% CI 1.01-1.99), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 3.92, 95% CI 1.36-11.28) were significantly associated with retention. Age (AOR 1.36, 95% CI 1.05-1.75), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 1.75, 95% CI 1.07-2.85), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.28-0.89) were associated with viral suppression. Higher CD4 cell count at enrollment (unadjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.69, 95% CI 0.55-0.87) and anemia (OR 4.86, 95% CI 1.71-13.81) were associated with mortality. We identified sociodemographic, treatment-related, clinical, and laboratory-based predictors of clinical outcomes. These characteristics may serve as markers of sub-populations that could benefit from additional interventions to support treatment success after rapid treatment initiation.
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