Abstract

BackgroundRelapse rates of 47 % have been reported in patients with neuromyelitis optica (NMOSD) using Azathioprine (AZA) and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF). Prediction of non-responders could help determine which patients are most likely to benefit from newer monoclonal antibody treatments from the outset. ObjectivesTo identify predictors of AZA and MMF treatment response in NMOSD. MethodsMulticenter cohort study of NMOSD patients from Brazil and the United Kingdom, treated with AZA and MMF. An unsatisfactory response was defined as one severe or two non-severe attacks in a year. Cox regression was used to identify predictive factors of unsatisfactory response to AZA and MMF. Results103 NMOSD patients, mean age 38 years, 83% female, and 65% of Black ethnic group were included. An unsatisfactory IS response was observed in 42% of patients over 2.5 years (IQR 1.0–8.8) years. A severe preceding attack was more common in non-responders (31.1% x 76.7%, p = <0.001). In multivariable analysis, severe attack (RR 3.13; 95 % CI 1.37-7.18, p = 0.007) or higher annualized relapse rate (RR 4.84; 95 % CI 2.01-11.65, p = < 0.001) predicted an unsatisfactory response. Interestingly, Black NMOSD patients had a lower risk of poor response (RR 0.39, 95 % CI 0.17-0.85, p = 0.019). ConclusionSevere attack and a higher annualized relapse rate before AZA or MMF initiation were associated with an unsatisfactory IS response. In patients with these characteristics, treatment with higher-efficacy drugs should be considered from the outset.

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