Abstract

Objective To evaluate the predictive values of human papilloma virus (HPV) E6/E7 mRNA test in the prognosis of patients with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1. Methods From July 2013 to October 2014, a total of 107 cases of patients who were initially diagnosed as CIN1 by pathologic results of colposcopic cervical biopsy in Department of Gynecology, Yantaishan Hospital of Yantai were selected as research subjects. All subjects received cervical ThinPrep liquid-based cytology test (TCT), HPV DNA genotyping test and HPV E6/E7 mRNA test within one month prior to initial diagnosis of CIN1. Two-year follow-ups and once every six months were conducted on all subjects, including the re-examination of TCT, HPV DNA genotyping test and HPV E6/E7 mRNA test. And cervical biopsies were conducted on suspicious lesions. According to the results of TCT, HPV DNA genotyping test, HPV E6/E7 mRNA test and colposcopic cervical biopsy at the end of follow-up, all subjects were enrolled into negative group and continuous or progressive group, respectively. Chi-square test was used to compare the positive rates of HPV E6/E7 mRNA between two groups. Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used to compare expression levels of HPV E6/E7 mRNA between two groups. The sensitivities and specificities of these three cervical screening methods in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 were calculated respectively. Then receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve of HPV E6/E7 mRNA expression level in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 was drawn, and the area under ROC curve (ROC-AUC) was calculated.The optimal critical value of HPV E6/E7 mRNA expression level in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 was obtained when the Youden index reaching the maximum value.And its sensitivity and specificity were calculated. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Human Beings in Yantaishan Hospital of Yantai and informed consent of clinical research has been signed with every subject. Results ①According to the results of TCT, HPV DNA genotyping test, HPV E6/E7 mRNA test and colposcopic cervical biopsy at the end of follow-up, all subjects were enrolled into negative group (n=63, the results of TCT, HPV DNA genotyping test and HPV E6/E7 mRNA test all were normal or the colposcopic cervical biopsy result was negative at the end of follow-up) and continuous or progressive group (n=44, the colposcopic cervical biopsy result was CIN1 or higher grade at the end of follow-up). There were no statistically significant differences between two groups in basic clinical data such as age and etc. (P>0.05). ②The positive rate of HPV E6/E7 mRNA and median expression level of HPV E6/E7 mRNA were 61.9% (39/63) and 3 738.4 copy/mL in continuous or progressive group, which were significantly higher than those in negative group (81.8%, 36/44) and 583.5 copy/mL, respectively), and both the differences were statistically significant (χ2=4.901, P=0.027; U=821.000, P<0.001). ③According to the results of two-year follow-up, the continuous or progressive rate of CIN in patients with HPV-16/18 positive was 50.8% (31/61), which was significantly higher than that in patients with HPV-16/18 negative (28.3%, 13/46), and the difference was statistically significant (χ2=5.512, P=0.019). The continuous or progressive rate of CIN in patients with HPV E6/E7 mRNA positive was 48.0% (36/75), which was significantly higher than that in patients with HPV E6/E7 mRNA negative (25.0%, 8/32), and the difference was statistically significant (χ2=4.901, P=0.027). The sensitivities of TCT, HPV DNA genotyping test and HPV E6/E7 mRNA qualitative test in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 were 50.0%, 70.5%, 81.8%, and the specificities were 66.7%, 52.4%, 38.1%, respectively. ④The results of ROC curve analysis of HPV E6/E7 mRNA expression level in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 showed that the ROC-AUC was 0.704 (95%CI: 0.601-0.806, P<0.001), and the optimal critical of value HPV E6/E7 mRNA expression level in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 was 2 724.0 copy/mL, and the sensitivity of HPV E6/E7 mRNA expression level in predicting continuous or progression of CIN was 54.5%, and the sensitivity was 81.0%. Conclusions The sensitive of HPV E6/E7 mRNA qualitative test in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 is relatively high, while the specificity of HPV E6/E7 mRNA quantitative test in predicting the prognosis of CIN1 is relatively high. HPV E6/E7 mRNA test may has clinical values in predicting the prognosis of patients with CIN1. Key words: Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia; Human papillomavirus; Papillomavirus E7 proteins; Genotyping; Prognosis; Female

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