Predictive Value of Systemic Immune-Inflammation index and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Severe COVID-19.

Abstract

Objective: It was initially reported that a novel coronavirus (COVID-19) had been identified in Wuhan, China, in December 2019.To date, COVID-19 is still threatening all humanity and has affected the public healthcare system and the world economic situation. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has also been demonstrated that associated with severity of COVID-19, but little is known about systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) relation with COVID-19. Methods: One hundred and twenty-five patients with diagnosed COVID-19 including non-severe cases (n = 77) and severe cases (n = 48) were enrolled in this study. Each patient of clinical characteristic information, blood routine parameters, and the haemogram-derived ratios were collected, calculated, and retrospectively analyzed. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) was performed to investigate whether these parameters could be used to the predictive value of patients with severe COVID-19. Results: White blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), red cell volume distribution width (RDW), NLR, Platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR), and SII were significantly higher in the severe groups than in the non-severe group (p < 0.01).Conversely, the severe group had a markedly decreased lymphocyte count, basophil (Baso#) count, red blood cell count (RBC), Hemoglobin (HGB), hematocrit (HCT), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) (P < 0.01).ROC curve analysis showed the AUC, optimal cut-off value, sensitivity, specificity of NLR and SII to early predict severe-patients with COVID-19 were 0.867, 7.25, 70.83%, 92.21% and 0.860, 887.20, 81.25%, 81.82%, respectively. Conclusion The results suggest that the SII and NLR is a potential new diagnosed biomarker in severe-patients with COVID-19.