Predictive value of procalcitonin for early atrial fibrillation recurrence post-cardioversion at the emergency department

Abstract

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements None. Background Cardioversion of acute atrial fibrillation (AF) in the emergency department (ED) has been shown to be a safe and effective treatment strategy that allows direct discharge from the ED thereby reducing avoidable hospitalizations. However, early AF recurrence may present a limitation, thereby necessitating the identification of predictors of AF recurrence post-ED cardioversion. Methods 117 patients with acute AF (first detected or recurrent paroxysmal) of <48 hours duration, managed by pharmacological (PC) or electrical cardioversion (EC) at the ED were prospectively enrolled upon ED presentation. Clinical, echocardiography, routine laboratory and NT-proBNP and procalcitonin assessments were performed upon presentation. We investigated the utility of inflammatory biomarker procalcitonin as predictor of acute success of cardioversion and early AF recurrence up to 30 days post-cardioversion. Results Study group consisted of 50% males, of mean(±SD) age 67±12years, 41% with first episode and 59% with paroxysmal AF, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 54±7% and left atrial diameter (LAD) 39±5mm. Median (IQR) creatinine, NTproBNP, hsTroponinT and procalcitonin were: 0.9(0.8-1.1)mg/dl, 517(137-1454)pg/ml, 11.8(6.7-19)pg/ml and 0.03(0.02-0.05)pg/ml, respectively. Of the total group, 59% had paroxysmal and 41% first-episode AF, whereas 70% received EC and 30% PC. Acute cardioversion success was achieved in 81%, while sinus rhythm was maintained in 84% at 8 days and in 86% in 30 days post-cardioversion. In univariate regression analysis, lower procalcitonin levels were associated with higher acute cardioversion success [HR, 95%CI: 0.208(0.050-0.863), p=0.031] as well as lower risk of AF recurrence at 8 days [HR, 95%CI: 0.142(0.028-0.730), p=0.019] and 30 days post-cardioversion [HR, 95%CI: 0.190(0.044-0.818), p=0.026]. Predictive value of procalcitonin was maintained after adjustment for LAD in multivariate regression (all p<0.05). Conclusions In acute AF managed by cardioversion in the ED, procalcitonin, a marker of inflammatory stimulation, may predict acute non-response as well as early AF recurrence up to 30 days post-cardioversion.