Predictive Value of Optimal Morphologic Response to First-Line Chemotherapy in Patients with Colorectal Liver Metastases

Abstract

Background: It has been reported that morphologic response to preoperative chemotherapy is an independent prognostic factor in patients who undergo hepatic resection of colorectal liver metastases (CLM). The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of morphologic response to first-line chemotherapy in patients with CLM. Methods: We assessed 41 patients with CLM who received fluorouracil-based chemotherapy with or without bevacizumab as the first-line chemotherapy between April 2006 and June 2012. Three blinded radiologists evaluated computed tomography images and classified them as optimal, incomplete or no response according to the morphologic criteria. Response to systemic chemotherapy was also evaluated according to Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST). Predictive factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS) were identified in multivariate analysis. Results: Twenty-three patients (56%) received chemotherapy with bevacizumab, while 18 patients (44%) received chemotherapy without bevacizumab. Optimal morphologic response was observed in 11 patients (48%) treated with bevacizumab and in 5 patients (28%) treated without bevacizumab (p = 0.19). Eight patients (20%) underwent hepatic resection after chemotherapy. The median follow-up period was 31.3 months. The median PFS was 13.3 months for patients with optical morphologic response and 8.7 months in those with incomplete/no morphologic response (p = 0.0026). On multivariate analysis, performance status and morphologic response were significant independent predictors of PFS. Conclusion: Optimal morphologic response was significantly associated with PFS in patients with CLM who were treated with fluorouracil-based chemotherapy as the first-line chemotherapy.