Abstract

Objective: To explore the predictive value of serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol/residual cholesterol (LDL-C/RC) coordination on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in elderly hypertensive patients. Methods: This is a prospective cohort study. Elderly hypertensive patients hospitalized in Beijing Anzhen Hospital from June 2018 to June 2020 were prospectively enrolled. According to the coordination of baseline LDL-C/RC, patients were divided into four groups: low LDL-C and low RC (LDL-C<2.6 mmol/L, and RC<0.62 mmol/L), low LDL-C and high RC (LDL-C<2.6 mmol/L, and RC≥0.62 mmol/L), high LDL-C and low RC (LDL-C≥2.6 mmol/L, and RC<0.62 mmol/L), and high LDL-C and high RC (LDL-C≥2.6 mmol/L, and RC≥0.62 mmol/L). Patients were followed up until June 2022. The primary outcome was MACE, including non-fatal acute coronary syndrome, non-fatal acute heart failure, non-fatal stroke and death. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate MACE among the four groups, and Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the related factors of MACE. Results: A total of 847 hypertensive patients were enrolled. There were 453 males (53.5%), mean age was (72.4±8.8) years. There were 207, 162, 263, 215 patients in the low LDL-C and low RC, low LDL-C and high RC, high LDL-C and low RC and high LDL-C and high RC group, respectively. During a median follow-up of 37 months, 196 patients (23.1%) had MACE, including 77 cases (9.1%) of ACS, 56 cases (6.6%) of acute heart failure, 34 cases (4.0%)of non-fatal stroke, 29 cases(3.4%) of all-cause mortality, and 16 cases (1.9%) of cardiovascular death. Risk of MACE of the four groups was significantly different (log-rank P<0.001). Compared with low LDL-C and low RC groups, high LDL-C and high RC groups had the highest incidence of MACE (HR=2.237, 95%CI 1.328-3.783, P=0.004), followed by low LDL-C and high RC groups (HR=1.745, 95%CI 1.220-2.527, P=0.003) and high LDL-C and low RC groups (HR=1.393, 95%CI1.048-1.774, P=0.022). In addition, the risk of nonfatal ACS among the four groups was also statistically significant (P=0.037), while the risk of nonfatal acute heart failure, nonfatal stroke, all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death were similar (all P>0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age (HR=1.271), duration of hypertension (HR=1.339), diabetes (HR=1.415), hyperlipidemia (HR=1.348), serum creatinine (HR=1.263), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (HR=1.316), LDL-C (HR=1.205), RC (HR=1.302), low LDL-C and high RC (HR=1.745), high LDL-C and low RC (HR=1.393), high LDL-C and high RC (HR=2.237) were independently associated with the occurrence of MACE. Conclusion: The coordination of LDL-C/RC affects the risk of MACE in elderly hypertensive patients, and the risk of MACE is the highest in patients with high LDL-C and high RC.

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