Abstract
This study aimed to explore the value of IHC4 in predicting pathological response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with hormonal receptor (HR)-positive breast cancer (BC). In this retrospective exploratory study, data for 68 HR-positive BC patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy were recorded. IHC4 scores were calculated based on estrogen receptors/progesterone receptors, Ki-67 and HER2 status. Logistic and ordinal regression analyses in addition to likelihood ratio test were used to explore associations of IHC4 scores and other clinico-pathological parameters with pathological complete response (pCR) and pathological stage. Taking the 25th percentile as the cut-off, a lower IHC4 score was associated with an increased probability of pCR (low; 52.9% vs. High; 21.6%, OR=4.1, 95% CI= 1.28-13.16, p=0.018) and a lower pathological stage (OR =3.9, 95% CI=1.34-11.33, p=0.012). When the IHC4 score was treated as a continuous variable, a lower score was again associated with an increased probability of pCR (OR=1.010, 95% CI=1.001-1.018, p=0.025) and lower pathological stage (OR=1.009, 95% CI= 1.002-1.017, P=0.008). Lower clinical stage was associated with a better pCR rate that was of borderline significance (P=0.056). When clinical stage and IHC4 score were incorporated together in a logistic model, the likelihood ratio test gave a P-value of 0.004 after removal of the IHC4 score and 0.011 after removal of the stage, indicating a more significant predictive value of the IHC4 score for pCR. This study suggests that the IHC4 score can predict pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in HR-positive BC patients. This finding now needs to be validated in a larger cohort of patients.
Highlights
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is usually utilized in inoperable breast cancer (BC) patients to allow for surgical resection and to facilitate breast conservative surgery in borderline candidates (Aapro 2011)
This study aimed to explore the value of IHC4 in predicting pathological response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with hormonal receptor (HR)-positive breast cancer (BC)
This study suggests that the IHC4 score can predict pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in HR-positive BC patients
Summary
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is usually utilized in inoperable breast cancer (BC) patients to allow for surgical resection and to facilitate breast conservative surgery in borderline candidates (Aapro 2011). Compelling evidence displayed improved long term survival with the achievement of pathological complete response (pCR) (Cortazar et al, 2014). This raised a critical need for predictors of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy to optimize therapeutic outcome. The Oncotype DX recurrence score, based on a 21-gene signature, has been proven to estimate the risk of recurrence in early hormone receptors (HR)-positive BC patients treated with adjuvant hormonal therapy (Dowsett et al, 2010). In Patients treated with neoadjuvant docetaxel, those with a high recurrence score were more likely to have pCR (Chang et al, 2008). The cost and complexity of gene-based assays highlight the need for developing more simplified predictive tools
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