Predictive Validity of the K-CAT-SS in High-Risk Adolescents and Young Adults.

Abstract

Suicide is a leading cause of death in adolescents and young adults and has increased substantially in the past 15 years. Accurate suicide risk stratification based on rapid screening can help reverse these trends. To study the ability of the K-CAT-SS, a brief computerized adaptive test of suicidality, to predict suicide attempts (SA) in high-risk youth. 652 participants aged 12-24, 78% of whom presented with suicidal ideation or behavior, were recruited within one month of mental health contact. The K-CAT-SS, scaled from 0-100, was administered at baseline, and participants were assessed at around 1-, 3-, and 6-months post-intake. Weekly incidence of SAs, assessed using the Adolescent Longitudinal Interval Follow-up Evaluation and Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale. A secondary outcome was suicidal behavior (SB), including aborted, interrupted, and actual SA. The K-CAT-SS showed a 4.91-fold increase in SAs for every 25-point increase in the baseline score, (95% CI=2.83,8.52) and a 3.51-fold increase in SBs (95% CI=2.32,5.30) These relationships persisted following adjustment for prior attempts, and demographic variables including age, sex, gender identity, sexual orientation, race/ethnicity, and other measures of psychopathology. No moderating effects were identified. At 3 months, the Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve [AUROC]=0.83 (95% CI=0.72, 0.93) for 1 or more SA. The K-CAT-SS is an excellent tool for suicide risk stratification, particularly in higher-risk populations where other measures have shown lower predictive validity.