Predictive Model for Novel Subtypes of Patients Undergoing Lower Extremity Amputation for Peripheral Artery Disease: An Unsupervised Machine Learning Study

Abstract

BackgroundPeripheral artery disease (PAD) represents the frequently seen circulatory condition related to a risk of critical limb ischemia and amputation. Critical lower extremity ischemia may require amputation, and the outcomes vary. In this study, we developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-driven predictive model for PAD subtypes to assess risk among patients more precisely and accurately to predict disease progression. MethodsThe present retrospective study examined clinical data in PAD patents undergoing lower extremity amputation. The data were analyzed using an unsupervised machine learning algorithm (UMLA) for subgroup identification and risk stratification. The clustering result accuracy was validated by analyzing the follow-up data of clusters. Finally, we built the prediction model with binary logistic regression. ResultsIn total, we enrolled 507 cases into this work. Two distinct subgroups, consisting of Clusters 1 and 2, were identified by UMLA; those from Cluster 1 showed markedly poorer conditions and prognostic outcomes compared with those from Cluster 2. With regard to the new PAD subtype, we established a nomogram with eight predictive factors, including gender, age, smoking history, diabetes and coronary heart disease history, albumin levels, endovascular intervention, and amputation level. The nomogram could accurately categorize patients into two identified clusters, and the area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.861 (95% confidence interval: 0.830–0.893). ConclusionIn this study, UMLA was used to identify new phenotypic subgroups among PAD cases who showed different risks of amputation. Our constructed AI-driven predictive model for PAD subtypes showed that it can be used for risk stratification and clinical management with high accuracy and reliability.