PREDICTIVE FUNCTION OF LEGAL POLICY

Abstract

Due to the chaos of legal reforms in Ukraine, the necessity of implementing sciencebased, purposeful, consistent and coordinated legal policy is growing. The article deals with the nature of the prediction function of legal policy, the main methods of its implementation and the characteristic of its state and prospects of its development in Ukraine. Legal policy as one of the most important tendencies of public policy requires regular expert assessments of social, financial and economic, legal, foreign policy, criminological and other consequences of the decisions taken in the field of law-making, law enforcement and police activity. Prediction allows evaluating the innovation potential of normative acts, reflecting the possible barriers to their implementation and developing mechanisms for adapting legislation to the needs of regular social development. It is noted that the historical method is the basic method of legal prediction. There are such methods of legal prediction as: factual, statistical method, mathematical modeling and extrapolation method, comparative legal method, expert evaluations. Prediction in legal policy should be based on monitoring of existing legal norms. Monitoring in law is a continuous diagnostics of legal regulation of certain spheres of social relations in order to establish its effectiveness, to determine gaps, collisions and other shortcomings of the legislation. These deficiencies prove possible to formulate proposals for eliminating errors. They create an appropriate basis for scientific prediction. According to study of dynamics of the legal sphere, implementation of the current legislation, tendencies of state and public institutions, natural development of lawful and unlawful behavior of citizens, individual, group and public awareness of justice, legal prediction provides scientific conclusions of possible options for the development of the legal situation, positive and negative effects of the planned measures, implementation of relevant norms and standards.