Prediction score for prolonged hospital stay in meconium aspiration syndrome: A multicentric collaborative cohort of south India.

Abstract

With improved survival in neonates with meconium aspiration syndrome (MAS), the focus is currently on mitigating the morbidities. The objective of this study was to predict factors determining prolonged hospital stay in neonates with MAS. It was a retrospective cohort from five centers of south India between 2018 and 2020. Neonates ≥35 weeks of gestation admitted to neonatal intensive care unitwith the diagnosis of MAS and requiring oxygen beyond 24 h of life were included in the study. The morbidities in the neonates with stay ≤7 days (short stay) were compared with >7 days (prolonged stay). Logistic regression by the backward stepwise method was used for predictive score creation. Out of 347 neonates with MAS discharged home, 103 (29%) had a short stay and 244 (71%) had prolonged stay. The primary support beyond O2 (continuous positive airway pressure/mechanical ventilation) (42% vs. 83%, p < 0.001), fractional inspired oxygen (FiO2 ) at 1 h >30% (45% vs. 87%, p < 0.001), hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy(HIE) stage2 or 3 (1% vs. 27%, p < 0.001), moderate-severe persistent pulmonary artery hypertension(PPHN) (3% vs. 31%, p < 0.001) were independent factors associated with prolonged stay on logistic regression. A prediction model was devised using weighted scores of these four associated morbidities. The clinical score thus developed had 83% sensitivity, 68% specificity for the prediction of prolonged stay (area under curve:82%, 95% confidence interval [78-87], p < 0.001). More than two-thirds of neonates with MAS had prolonged stay. The primary support beyond oxygen, FiO2 requirement >30%, Moderate to severe PPHN, HIE stage2 or 3 were predictive of prolonged stay in neonates with MAS.