Prediction Personnel Needs and Empirical Analysis----Taking the Tourist Demand in Shandong Province as Example

Abstract

In human resources planning, talent demand prediction is one of the important content. Study on the talent demand forecast, mainly serves for the reality of economic life. The purpose of this paper is based on the Shandong province tourism talent demand forecasting, to solve the problem of cultivating talents in the future, and to solve the employment problem. The article adopts the methods of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, each factor analysis of talent demand forecast to consider. Through empirical analysis, we obtained the prediction conclusion. KEYWORD: Talent demand; forecast; tourism talents; Shandong Province International Conference on Social Science, Education Management and Sports Education (SSEMSE 2015) © 2015. The authors Published by Atlantis Press 1314 3.1 Present Situation tourism professionals in Shandong Province Investigation focused on the tourism administration department and traditional tourism enterprises. As of October 2013, the total number of tourism professionals surveyed is 209,618 people, including tourism administration department staff is 3060, accounting for 1.46 percent of the total. Scenic personnel are 44,690 people, accounting for 21.32 percent of the total. Tourist Hotel staff is 143,714, accounting for 68.56 percent of the total. Travel agents are 18,154 people, accounting for 8.66 percent of the total. Particular case is shown in the following table1. Table 1Present Situation tourism professionals in Shandong Province Tourism professionals The number of people percentage Tourism administration department staff 3060 1.46% Scenic personnel 44,690 21.32% Tourist Hotel staff 143,714 68.56% Travel agents 18,154 8.66%