Prediction of Solar Coronal Structures Using Fourier Neural Operators Based on the Solar Photospheric Magnetic Field Observation

Abstract

AbstractThis paper constructs the structures of the solar corona (SC) using Fourier neural operators (FNO) based on solar photospheric magnetic field observation. The purpose is to learn the mapping between two infinite‐dimensional function spaces, which takes the photospheric magnetic field as input and the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) solar wind plasma parameters as output, from a finite collection of input‐output pairs. The FNO‐SC model is established using MHD simulated results of 36 Carrington rotations (CRs) from 2008, 2009, and 2020. The performance of the FNO‐SC model is tested for 6 CRs during various phases of the solar activity such as descending, minimum, and ascending phases to generate the 3D structures of the SC. With the MHD simulations as references, the average structure similarity index measure (SSIM) value for the magnetic field topology from 1 to 3Rs is around 0.88. From 1 to 20Rs, the SSIM values for the number density and radial speed surpass 0.9. Relative to OMNI observations, the mean absolute percentage error for the radial speed generated from the FNO‐SC model does not exceed 0.25. These results indicate that the FNO‐SC model effectively captures the solar coronal structures typical of the periods investigated, by recovering the MHD simulations as well as the observations. The FNO‐SC model is further trained with enriched data from the maximum phase to assess the capability of modeling such a situation. The FNO‐SC model costs 48.7 s for a single CR prediction, and thus facilitates real‐time space weather forecasting.