Abstract

During the drilling process, accurate prediction of drilling efficiency and safety plays a key role in timely adjustment of drilling process state. In general, surface parameters rate of penetration(ROP) and mud pit volume(MPV) are often used as important parameters to judge drilling safety and efficiency due to the bad bottom hole environment and unreliable detection devices. However, most drilling systems are underground, the structure is complex and exists many disturbances, so the state of drilling process is difficult to accurately predict. In this paper, an online support vector regression(OSVR) model is proposed to predict the ROP and MPV. First, the parameters of the model are determined by simple drilling process analysis. Then, the fast fourier transform filtering method is used to filter the high frequency disturbances of the data. Finally, the prediction model is established by support vector regression(SVR) method and the model is continuously updated by the model update method. The simulation results of industrial data show that the proposed model has a good prediction effect.

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